Monday, August 15, 2011

LIbya On The Brink

The Libyan Rebels are on the verge of putting Gadhafi into a serious chokehold. In the west, they're fighting hard for the key town of Zawiya- if they can take it completely and more importantly, hold their gains, they'll have cut off Gadhafi's only supply line and if the oil terminals at Brega fall in the next couple of days, the capture of both towns will cut Gadhafi off from a fuel source as well.

Al-Jazeera is reporting that the Libyan Interior Minister has arrived in Cairo with his family members- and was not greeted by a member of the Embassy staff, which has rumors swirling that he's defected...

And now new rumors are flying that the rebels have been negotiating in secret with the government and that quite possibly, Gadhafi is ready to take a bow and head into exile. Whether that means he risks criminal prosecution by the ICC or not is something that has yet to be determined.

Barring a total rebel collapse in the west (Zawiya is do or die for the regime- I'd hope the rebels are expecting a heavy counterattck) which seems unlikely at this point, I think we can safely say that we're reaching an endgame to this conflict.

UPDATED: Eeeeesh... Gadhafi has fired a scud missile towards rebel territory. Fingers crossed that those rumored negotiations in Tunisia are more than rumors- and more to the point that the Colonel is looking for an exit strategy.

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