Wednesday, June 8, 2011

Libya Creeps Towards A Resolution

NATO is ratcheting up airstrikes on the Gadafi Regime in Libya and calling for planning on a post-Gadafi Libya to start now to ensure a smooth transition to democracy. They've also extended their operations for another 90 days until September...

I'm really hoping that Gadafi collapses before then, though. I think with a little bit of patience and continued pressure, dividends should start to be paid here over the next couple of months. Rebels in the Western Mountains have opened up another front and are making gains against Gadafi forces their- most recently capturing Yafran and getting within 100 KM of Tripoli. Things seem to be bogged down in the East, with the rebels not advancing much beyond Ajdabiya, but I also think, given the early patterns of massive gains followed by massive retreats for the rebels, a little bit of caution on the Eastern front can only be a good thing.

There's still work to be done here and more aid, assistance and organization for the rebels is needed- but when Russia and China, hardly fans of the initial NATO action to begin with are making contact with the NTC in Benghazi and Russia is openly saying that he needs to go, I think the international consensus seems to be that Gadafi's days are numbered.

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