Saturday, January 2, 2010

IA Senate (Early Early) Preview

Congress is up for grabs, the State House and the Governor's Mansion (here in Iowa) are up for grabs and our very own Senator Chuck Grassley is up for re-election this year. The early (very very) early forecast seems to indicate that (surprise, surprise) Grassley is still favored, but Democrat Roxanne Conlin has a high percentage (73%) name recognition in the state that could make it 'interesting.'

Coming back down from Minnesota, where state politics is a little more robust (and more or less defined by the rest of the state trying to resist the big, huge sucking center of gravity that is Minneapolis-St. Paul) Iowa politics tend to be characterized by the mantra 'don't rock the boat.' Which is why I think that Grassley probably has this one locked up-- it's good that the Democrats apparently found someone with a pulse to take him on, but incumbency in Iowa is more than just the 90% advantage it is nationally, it may as well be a ticket that says 'lifetime employment, if you want it.'

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